According to CNBC, TotalEnergies fourth quarter profits for 2024 were $4.4 billion. Although the fourth quarter profits were down by 15% from $5.2 billion in comparison to 2023, it was still more than the Q3 profits, which were at $4.1 billion.

The company said it is expecting higher gas prices, upstream production and power sales in 2025. After the statement, TotalEnergies shares saw a surge of 1.3% on January 25th, 2025 at 8.42 AM.

CEO Patrick Pouyanne said at a press event, “I expect the company to be able to continue investing in renewable energy in the U.S., and exports of U.S. LNG is set to practically double in the coming years.”

TotalEnergies Strengthens LNG Position

French oil major TotalEnergies keeps expanding its LNG business while building dominance in the industry through strategic global development. Through strategic investments in LNG facilities and export development the company strengthens its contribution to worldwide energy protection. TotalEnergies is the largest LNG exporter in the U.S., with over 10 million tons secured through contracts.

LNG demand shows strong growth mainly because European and Asian countries aim to stop depending on Russian energy. Total announced a 7% increase in its 2024 dividend, raising it to 3.22 euros per share, and confirmed $2 billion in share buybacks per quarter for 2025.

TotalEnergies Profit Outlook

TotalEnergies expects profit surge in 2025 because the organization follows a balanced approach toward energy creation. The French oil company operates its oil and gas demand while actively implementing speedy development of renewable energy projects which include solar power wind energy and hydrogen technology.

The company’s long-term vision emphasizes sustainability and profitability, ensuring that it remains a leader in the energy landscape. With a strong fourth-quarter performance and promising projections for 2025, TotalEnergies continues to demonstrate resilience and adaptability in a changing market.

TotalEnergies amazing fourth quarter profits showcase how the company uses strategic operational methods to tackle market difficulties and turn them into growth prospects. TotalEnergies as a French oil major faces an important role in the coming years because its strategic decisions will determine its future direction in LNG and renewable expansion. TotalEnergies Profit shows strong potential for the future because it receives backing from the U.S. largest LNG exporter sector while maintaining a positive financial projection.

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As demand slows down, competition intensifies, and new challenges arise, smaller and less efficient refiners may face extinction. As per Yahoo Finance, around 10% of the Chinese oil refining factories may close in the next 10 years. This is happening because the Chinese Refining Sector will face the surge in demand sooner than expected while the government pushes to cut costs.

With the increasing curbs and sanctions on Chinese manufacturers, a lot of small factories for oil refining will lose their access to cheap crude oil from countries like Iran, according to analysts and industry players.

“The growth era for China’s refining industry is coming to an end,” said an industry analyst. “Refiners will have to adapt to a changing market where efficiency and sustainability play a bigger role.”

Impact on Global Crude Oil Imports

The China refining sector has been a major driver of global crude oil imports, absorbing vast quantities of oil to meet domestic and export demands. However, as fuel consumption stabilizes and refiners optimize production, China’s appetite for crude may wane.

A decline in global crude oil imports from China could have far-reaching consequences. Major oil-producing nations, including Saudi Arabia and Russia, may need to adjust their export strategies. Additionally, refiners in other parts of Asia, such as India and South Korea, could see shifts in market dynamics as China refocuses on efficiency rather than expansion.

China Refining Sector Faces Consolidation

As the shakeout in China’s refining sector intensifies, smaller and older refineries face the risk of being shut down. Large state-owned refiners like Sinopec and PetroChina are likely to continue their lead, while independent refiners, also known as “teapots,” are likely to be at a disadvantage. With China becoming one of the major consumers of Electric Cars, petroleum refineries are facing a major setback

The government has cracked down on small refineries lately, denying the smaller refineries crude import quotas and tightening up the environmental standards. This already led to a few plant shutdowns and has forced others to upgrade their operations. This is expected to be a trend because the industry needs to consolidate its efforts in relation to the new energy landscape.

Fuel Export Dynamics to Shift

China played a critical role in the dynamics of exported fuels, as it supplied refined products like gasoline and diesel to markets all over Asia. However, changes in domestic consumption and stricter export policies will change China’s influence over global fuel supply.

China would probably focus on the production of higher-value petrochemical products instead of trying to be another refining hub of the world, said industry observers. “The future of China’s refining sector may lie in chemicals and alternative energy sources rather than just fuel production,” said one energy strategist.

The China refining sector shakeout signals a critical transformation in the country’s energy market. With the fuel demand peak nearing and global crude oil imports readjusting, refiners have to adjust to a new reality. With changing fuel export dynamics, China’s refining industry is at a critical juncture, one that may redefine its role in the global energy landscape.

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The S&P 500 gained 0.2% after recovering from a loss of 0.9%. The Dow Jones surged by 0.9%, but the Big Tech drop brought the Nasdaq down by 0.4%.

The highlight of the day was the gain in oil and gas stocks, boosted by a surge in the price of oil. The increase in global energy demand along with the short supply has pushed the oil prices to their highest levels. This high demand benefited oil and gas companies by surging their stock prices.

The Q1 rounding up was highlighted by a return of investor confidence for the industry as well as the surge in Exxon Mobil and Chevron stocks. This rise was due to the increase in geopolitical risk and production cuts from major oil-exporting countries that maintained high prices.

Big Tech Drop Impacts Broader Market

While oil and gas stocks gained profits, the technology sector faced a downfall as a decline in tech stocks weighed heavily on indices. Apple’s stock fell by 1% and Meta saw a dip of 1.2% in stock prices due to rising interest rates and slowing consumer demand. Moderna, the COVID vaccine manufacturer, experienced a loss of 16.8% in its stocks while Macy’s shares went down by 8.1%.

The Big Tech stock decline is a reminder of the challenges the sector would face in retaining its high valuation in uncertain economic times. Investors are rapidly shifting their portfolios to value-based sectors such as energy.

The Federal Reserve may lower the interest rate to give the economy a boost. However, the inflation remained 2% higher than the reserves target. Some recent reports have suggested that the U.S. economy does not need any help but there are increasing questions around the Federal Reserve lowering the interest rates.

Broader Implications for Investors

For investors, gains in oil and gas companies and the drop in Big Tech highlight the importance of diversification in a portfolio. Although energy stocks do offer a short-term play in the near term with rising oil prices, the long-term play remains for those willing to weather the current volatility in tech stocks.

With these mixed signals, Wall Street will watch closely the global energy trends and policy decisions by the Federal Reserve that can have an immense impact on these sectors.

Wall Street is maintaining a difficult balance due to the sharp gains for oil and gas stocks and losses for technology giants. As the energy sector boosts and the tech stocks decline, the market continues to watch the complexities of a dynamic economy. While the gains in oil and gas companies are the highlight of the day, the decline in tech stocks is a reminder of the turmoil the tech sector will face.

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